Dr. Les Hatton, a fellow of the Royal Meteorological Society, today released a global statistical analysis testing six Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) statements against raw data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric (NOAA) Administration to prove there has been no increase in global hurricanes or typhoons, contrary to IPCC claims.
Hatton was inspired to analyse the IPPC hurricane data after the climategate email revelations and found that although the North Atlantic hurricane activity increased significantly, the increase was cancelled out overall by diminished activity in the East Pacific. Thus, the declines balance the increases. His detailed report can be found in this PDF.
“When you average the number of storms and their strength, it almost exactly balances.”
Thus we are left to conclude there is no proof of any increase in atmospheric energy manifesting itself in storms.Hatton claims he is neither “a warmist nor a denialist”, but a scientist. Hatton has a PhD in meteorology for his study of tornados and waterspouts. He performed a z-test statistical analysis of the period 1999-2009 against 1946-2009 to test the six conclusions. He also ran the data ending with what the IPCC had available in 2007.
Warmists have to go back four years to use Katrina as their hobbyhorse for any claims of a link between global warming and increased storm events. After Hatton’s revelations it’s now high time to dismount.
The IPCC’s AR4 chapter dealing with hurricane events was lead was Kevin Trenberth, who features prominently in the Climategate emails. In 2005, the National Hurricane Center’s chief scientist Chris Landsea resigned his post in protest at the treatment of the subject by Trenberth.
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